Duke's Shocking 2-Pointer at Clemson: Did This Buzzer-Beater Just End Notre Dame's Playoff Dreams?

If you thought Miami's dramatic win over Notre Dame secured the Hurricanes a spot in the College Football Playoff while pushing the Irish out, you're only partly correct. The real turning point in this season's chaotic landscape occurred two months later with a pivotal 3-yard catch by Duke's wide receiver Sahmir Hagans against Clemson. This moment exemplifies the butterfly effect in college football, where small actions can lead to large consequences. Here are ten critical moments from this season that had significant implications for teams nationwide.
Duke Dooms Notre Dame
Duke's nail-biting victory over Clemson, where they scored a touchdown in the final minute to bring the score to 45-44, hinged on a successful 2-point conversion. Hagans caught the winning pass from Darian Mensah, marking Duke's first victory at Clemson in 45 years. A loss would have eliminated Duke from the five-way tie for second place in the ACC standings, consequently barring them from the championship game. Instead, this victory allowed the ACC to lean on advanced metrics for tiebreakers, with Miami emerging as potential champions. If Miami had claimed the ACC title, they would have secured a spot in the Playoff, potentially opening a door for Notre Dame as an at-large team. Instead, the Irish found themselves on the outside looking in.
Notre Dame had its shining moments throughout the season, but being edged out by a team that had just bested Clemson marked a significant blow to their postseason hopes.
In another turning point, during a tense matchup between No. 3 Penn State and No. 6 Oregon, a seemingly innocuous play changed the course of several coaching careers. After Oregon running back Noah Whittington's knee grazed the turf, a fumble call was overturned, allowing Oregon to score a game-winning touchdown. This loss set off a chain reaction, resulting in the firing of Penn State's coach James Franklin after three consecutive defeats. Franklin’s dismissal indirectly led to hefty contract renewals for other coaches, totaling around $300 million, as programs scrambled to secure their own leadership amid speculation.
Similarly, at UCLA, a last-minute interception sealed the Bruins’ 0-2 start and contributed to head coach DeShaun Foster's ousting. This fired coach eventually led to a coaching carousel, wherein the ramifications of one game rippled through the entire college football landscape.
What if a critical play had gone differently for LSU against Ole Miss? The Rebels secured a 24-19 victory thanks to a fourth-down conversion that allowed them to maintain their edge. Had LSU’s defense made the stop, the outcome might have altered the trajectory of Brian Kelly's tenure at LSU, possibly preventing his eventual firing.
In an unexpected twist, Alabama's fate hung in the balance during their matchup with Oklahoma. A pick-six by Oklahoma's Eli Bowen proved to be a deciding factor in a narrow 23-21 win over the Tide. This play was crucial, as it not only kept Oklahoma in the playoff picture but also edged out Alabama, Miami, and Notre Dame from contention.
Florida’s situation also took a turn when defensive lineman Brendan Bett received an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty for spitting on an opposing player. This led to an in-state loss to South Florida and ultimately resulted in head coach Billy Napier's firing a month and a half later. The fallout saw Florida hire Tulane's Jon Sumrall, while USF secured Ohio State's Brian Hartline as their new offensive coordinator, affecting two teams directly involved in the CFP.
One more critical moment came in the Big Ten championship when Indiana's Fernando Mendoza threw a game-winning pass that not only clinched the Hoosiers their first outright title in 80 years but likely ensured his own Heisman Trophy win. This victory was monumental for Indiana, making them the top seed in the playoffs for the first time in their history.
In another twist, Texas' playoff hopes were dashed by a loss to Florida, with committee chairman Hunter Yurachek noting that it was a defining moment for the Longhorns. A missed opportunity by Arch Manning, who failed to connect on a deep pass that could have altered the game's momentum, served as a stark reminder of how small plays can dictate playoff futures.
Finally, Georgia's failure to convert a fourth-and-inches against Alabama allowed the Crimson Tide to maintain a crucial win. This game was labeled by Yurachek as “arguably the best win” of the season, further solidifying Alabama's position in the playoff rankings. The missed opportunity meant Georgia's long home winning streak ended, but it also bolstered Alabama’s playoff resume.
In retrospect, the 2025 college football season has illustrated the intricate connections between seemingly isolated plays and their far-reaching consequences. As teams gear up for future seasons, these pivotal moments will serve as enduring reminders of the unpredictability inherent in college football.
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